There is a high risk that someone will use, by accident or design, one or more of the 17,000 nuclear weapons in the world today. Many thought such threats ended with the Cold War or that current policies can prevent or contain nuclear disaster. They are dead wrong—these weapons, possessed by states large and small, stable and unstable, remain an ongoing nightmare.
Joseph Cirincione surveys the best thinking and worst fears of experts specializing in nuclear warfare and assesses the efforts to reduce or eliminate these nuclear dangers. His book offers hope: in the 1960s, twenty-three states had nuclear weapons and research programs; today, only nine states have weapons. More countries have abandoned nuclear weapon programs than have developed them, and global arsenals are just one-quarter of what they were during the Cold War. Yet can these trends continue, or are we on the brink of a new arms race—or worse, nuclear war? A former member of Senator Obama's nuclear policy team, Cirincione helped shape the policies unveiled in Prague in 2009, and, as president of an organization intent on reducing nuclear threats, he operates at the center of debates on nuclear terrorism, new nuclear nations, and the risks of existing arsenals.
- Table of Contents
- List of Tables
- Introduction
- PART I: POLICY
- 1. Promise
- 2. Legacy
- 3. Pivot
- PART II: NIGHTMARES
- 4. Arsenals and Accidents
- 5. Calculating Armageddon
- 6. Exploding Budgets
- 7. The 95 Percent
- 8. The Most Dangerous Country on Earth
- PART III: SOLUTIONS
- 9. Posture and Proliferation
- 10. The End of Proliferation
- 11. Foundations
- Appendix A: Remarks by President Barack Obama
- Appendix B: Statement by President Barack Obama
- Appendix C: Remarks by President Barack Obama
- Appendix D: Excerpts from President Barack Obama's State of the Union Address | January 27, 2010
- Appendix E: Remarks by President Barack Obama at New Start Treaty Signing Ceremony, Prague, Czech Republic | April 9, 2010
- Appendix F: Ploughshares Fund
- Acknowledgments
- Notes
- Index
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