Energy provides a fresh, multidisciplinary approach to energy analysis. Leading experts from diverse fields examine the evolving structure of our energy system from several perspectives. They explore the changing patterns of supply and demand, offer insights into the forces that are driving the changes, and discuss energy planning strategies that take advantage of such insights.
The book addresses several major issues, including the growing vulnerabilities in the U.S. energy system, the influence of technological change, and the role of electricity in meeting social objectives. The strongest of the book's themes is the growing influence of environmental concerns on the global energy system.
- Energy Production, Consumption, and Consequences
- Copyright
- PREFACE
- Contents
- ENERGY PLANNING IN A DYNAMIC WORLD: OVERVIEW AND PERSPECTIVE
- Supply, Demand, And Reappraisal
- The Environmental Dimension
- The Energy Planning Window
- The Role Of Technology
- Some Implications for Strategy
- Increasing Energy Efficiency
- Promoting Hydrogen-Rich Fuels
- Revisiting Nuclear Fission
- Synergies And Conclusion
- References
- 1 SUPPLY, DEMAND, AND REAPPRAISAL
- ENERGY IN RETROSPECT: IS THE PAST PROLOGUE?
- The Ratio of Energy to Gross National Product
- Increasing Supply and Reducing Demand
- Incrementalism and Its Consequences
- International Perspectives
- Conclusions
- References
- ENERGY EFFICIENCY: ITS POTENTIAL AND LIMITS TO THE YEAR 2000
- Historical Perspective
- Future Implications
- Conclusions
- References
- IMPLICATIONS OF CONTINUING ELECTRIFICATION
- Historical Perspective
- Biospheric Implications
- Technology Implications
- Sociological Implications
- Implications For National Energy Policy
- References
- 2 ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUES
- GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL FORCES
- REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL FORCES: A METHODOLOGY FOR ASSESSMENT AND PREDICTION
- Toward A Synoptic Framework
- Noteworthy Atmospheric Properties
- Interactions
- Assessments
- Extending The Framework In Space and Time
- Concepts and Goals
- Air Quality Assessment and Scenario Design
- Assessment for Europe
- Regional Impacts
- Global Impacts
- Summary
- Extending The Framework To Different Regimes
- Discussion and Conclusions
- Acknowledgment
- References
- THE AUTOMOBILE AND THE ATMOSPHERE
- Alternative Motor Vehicle Energy Strategies
- The Energy Storage Qualities of Liquid Fuels
- Dominance Of Gasoline and Diesel Fuel
- Development of Emission Control For Conventional Vehicles
- Ozone Formation
- The Development of Emission Controls
- Environmental Response
- Ambient Concentration Data
- National Ambient Air Quality Standards
- Location and Severity of Violations
- Alternative Fuels and Their Effects On Air Quality
- Methanol as a Motor Fuel
- Computer Simulation Studies (Single Day)
- Multiday Simulation Studies
- Public Health and Direct Formaldehyde Emissions
- Public Policy Strategies
- Customer Value and Fuel Strategy
- Conclusions
- References
- 3 EVOLVING VULNERABILITIES AND OPPORTUNITIES
- MANAGING VOLATILITY IN THE OIL INDUSTRY
- Long-Term Commodities Prices
- Futures Trading and Price Volatility
- U.S. Oil and Gas Additions and Production
- Exploration and Production Sector Activity
- Behavior Patterns
- Revenues
- Rein vestment Patterns
- Future Crude Oil Prices
- Future U.S. Oil and Gas Additions and Production
- Geologic and Technological Surprises
- Exploration and Production Sector Revenues and Cash Flow
- U.S. Crude Oil Imports
- Changes in Refining Capacity
- Retail Gasoline Sector
- Fuel Switchability in Industrial Boilers
- A Systems Theory Approach
- Conclusions
- Notes
- References
- THE UNCERTAIN FUTURE ROLE OF NATURAL GAS
- Resource Availability
- Economics of Natural Gas
- Environment, Safety, and Siting
- Conclusion
- Reference
- EUROPEAN NATURAL GAS SUPPLIES AND MARKETS
- The Natural Gas Resource Base Available to Europe
- Western European Gas Consumption
- Western European Gas Supply
- Conclusions
- FUTURE CONSEQUENCES OF NUCLEAR NONPOLICY
- But First, What Went Right?
- What Went Wrong?
- How Do We Fix It?
- Consequences of Continued Indifference
- Issues
- Notes
- References
- 4 IMPLICATIONS FOR STRATEGY
- ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT, AND DEVELOPMENT
- WHAT TO DO ABOUT CO2
- Human Activity and The Atmosphere
- Understanding Climate
- Natural Climatic Change
- Modeling Climate
- Regional Climatic Response
- Uncertainties
- Climate Futures
- Likely Environmental Impacts
- Economic, Social and Political Consequences
- Risk Assessment
- The Policy Response Spectrum
- Sustainable Policy Responses: "Tie-In Strategies"
- References
- ACHIEVING CONTINUING ELECTRIFICATION
- Demand
- Supply
- Reliability
- Deregulation
- Transmission Access
- Role of Technology
- Conclusion
- References
- REGIONAL APPROACHES TO TRANSBOUNDARY AIR POLLUTION
- Joint Programs and Agreements
- Policy Criteria for International Agreements
- Economic Rationale
- Verification
- Weighing the Equities
- Note
- References
- EFFICIENCY, MACHIAVELLI, AND BUDDHA
- CONTRIBUTORS
- INDEX
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